ECO 410 Week 6 Quiz – Strayer
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Quiz 5 Chapter 9 and 10
Chapter 9 Foreign Exchange Rate Determination and Forecasting
9.1 Exchange Rate Determination: The Theoretical Thread
Multiple Choice
1) An important thing to remember about foreign exchange rate determination is that parity conditions, asset approach, and balance of payments approaches are ________ theories rather than ________ theories.
A) competing; complementary
B) competing; contemporary
C) complementary; contiguous
D) complementary; competing
2) Which of the following did NOT contribute to the exchange rate collapse in emerging markets in the 1990s?
A) infrastructure weaknesses
B) speculation on the part of market participants
C) the sharp reduction of cross-border foreign direct investment
D) All of the above contributed to the emerging markets exchange rate collapse of the 1990s.
3) The ________ provides a means to account for international cash flows in a standardized and systematic manner.
A) parity conditions
B) asset approach
C) balance of payments
D) International Fisher Effect
4) The ________ approach argues that equilibrium exchange rates are achieved when the net inflow of foreign exchange arising from current account activities is equal to the net outflow of foreign exchange arising from financial account activities.
A) balance of payments
B) monetary
C) asset market
D) law of one price
5) The ________ approach states that the exchange rate is determined by the supply and demand for national currency stocks, as well as the expected future levels and rates of growth of monetary stock.
A) balance of payments
B) monetary
C) asset market
D) law of one price
6) The ________ approach argues that exchange rates are determined by the supply and demand for a wide variety of financial assets
A) balance of payments
B) monetary
C) asset market
D) law of one price
7) The ________ approach to the determination of spot exchange rates hypothesizes that the most important factors are the relative real interest rate and a country's outlook for economic growth and profitability.
A) balance of payments
B) parity conditions
C) managed float
D) asset market
8) The asset market approach to forecasting assumes that whether foreigners are willing to hold claims in monetary form depends on an extensive set of investment considerations. These include all but which of the following choices?
A) relative real interest rates
B) capital market liquidity
C) political safety
D) All of the above are considered by investors in their decision process.
9) ________ is defined as the spread of a crisis in one country to its neighboring countries and other countries with similar characteristics.
A) Speculation
B) Contagion
C) Capital market liquidity
D) Political science
10) Critics of the balance of payments approach to exchange rate determination point to the emphasis on ________ of currency and capital rather than ________ of money or financial assets.
A) flows; stocks
B) stocks; flows
C) import; export
D) export; import
11) Which of the following versions of PPP is thought to be the most relevant to possibly explaining what drives exchange rate values?
A) The Law of One Price
B) Absolute Purchasing Power Parity
C) Relative Purchasing Power Parity
D) The International Fisher Effect
True/False
1) It is safe to say that most determinants of the spot exchange rate are also affected by changes in the spot rate. i.e., they are linked AND mutually determined.
2) The balance of payments approach of exchange rate theory is largely dismissed by the academic community today, while the practitioner public still rely on different variations of the theory for their decision making.
3) Technical analysis of exchange rates developed in part due to the forecasting inadequacies of fundamental exchange rate theories.
4) The authors claim that theoretical and empirical studies appear to show that fundamentals do apply to the long-term for foreign exchange.
5) The authors claim that random events, institutional frictions, and technical factors may cause currency values to deviate significantly from their long-term fundamental path.
6) The asset market approach to forecasting is not applicable to emerging markets.
7) Most theories of technical analysis differentiate fair value from market value.
Essay
1) Describe the asset market approach to exchange rate determination. How is this consistent with economic theory of (say, security) prices in general?
9.2 Currency Market Intervention
Multiple Choice
1) ________ is the active buying and selling of the domestic currency against foreign currencies.
A) Indirect Intervention
B) Direct Intervention
C) Foreign Direct Investment
D) Federal Funding
2) Which of the following is NOT a technique used by governments or central banks to impact domestic currency valuation?
A) Indirect Intervention
B) Direct Intervention
C) Capital Controls
D) All of the above are techniques used to control currency valuation.
3) Which of the following is NOT a motivation for a government or central bank to manipulate domestic currency valuation?
A) fight inflation
B) slow too rapid economic growth
C) spur too slow economic growth
D) All of the above are motivations for the government or central bank to manipulate currency values.
True/False
1) Slow economic growth and continued unemployment problems are common reasons for central banks to hold currency values down.
2) The fall in the value of the domestic currency will sharply reduce the purchasing power of foreign tourists in the country whose currency values are falling.
3) The International Monetary Fund, as one of its basic principles (Article IV), encourages members to pursue "currency manipulation" to gain competitive advantages over other members as opposed to engaging in military action to achieve the same advantage.
4) If a central bank wishes to "defend its currency," it might follow an expansive monetary policy, which would drive real rates of interest up.
5) A country wishing for its currency to fall in value, particularly when confronted with a continual appreciation of its value against major trading partner currencies, the central bank may work to lower real interest rates, reducing the returns to capital.
6) Indirect intervention for domestic currency valuation typically uses tools of monetary policy as opposed to using tools of fiscal policy.
7) Direct intervention for currency valuation involves limiting the ability to exchange domestic currency for foreign currency.
Essay
1) Explain how a central bank would engage in direct intervention to decrease the value of its domestic currency. Since the 1970s it has been difficult for central banks alone to engage in direct intervention to alter the value of their domestic currency. Identify and explain at least two other activities in which a central bank could engage to alter the value of their domestic currency.
9.3 Disequilibrium: Exchange Rates in Emerging Markets
Multiple Choice
1) Which of the following was NOT an international currency crisis in the 1990s and early 2000s?
A) the Asian Crisis
B) the Canadian Crisis
C) the Argentine Crisis
D) All of the above were currency crises in the 1990s and 2000s.
2) The Asian Currency crisis appeared to begin in:
A) South Korea.
B) Taiwan.
C) Thailand.
D) Japan.
3) The "tequila effect" is a slang term used to describe a form of financial panic called:
A) run on the market.
B) speculation.
C) contrary investing.
D) contagion.
4) Prior to July 2, 1997, the Thai government:
A) allowed the Thai Bhat to float against major currencies.
B) fixed the Bhat's value against the Korean won only.
C) fixed the Bhat's value against major currencies especially the U.S. dollar.
D) none of the above
5) The authors did NOT identify which of the following as a root of the Asian currency crisis?
A) the collapse of some Asian currencies
B) the rate of inflation in the United States
C) corporate socialism
D) banking stability and management
6) The authors refer to the practice of many Asian firms being largely controlled by families of groups related to the governing body of the country as:
A) illegal.
B) insider trading.
C) cronyism.
D) not in my back yard.
7) The principle focus of the IMF bailout efforts during the Asian financial crisis was:
A) banking liquidity.
B) shareholder's wealth.
C) reestablishing fixed currency exchange rates in Asia.
D) dollarization of Asian currencies.
8) The ________ is the Argentine currency unit.
A) peso
B) dollar
C) real
D) peseta
9) A currency board is:
A) a structure, rather than a mere commitment, to limiting the growth of the money supply in the economy.
B) a recipe for conservative and prudent financial management.
C) designed to eliminate the power of politicians to exercise judgment by relying on an automatic and unbendable rule.
D) all of the above
10) Argentina's economic performance in the 1990s while their peso was pegged to the U.S. dollar can be characterized as ________ rates of inflation and ________ rates of unemployment.
A) high; high
B) low; low
C) low; high
D) high; low
11) Which of the following did NOT contribute to the Russian currency crisis of 1998?
A) an accelerated flight of capital
B) generally deteriorating economic conditions
C) a surprisingly healthy government surplus that was neither funding internal investment nor external debt service
D) all of the above
True/False
1) In 1991 the Argentine peso was fixed to the value of the U.S. dollar on a one-to-one basis.
2) Leading up to the Russian currency collapse of 1998, Russia followed a currency policy of managed float that allowed their currency to slide daily at a 1.5% per month rate.
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